Will Abrams tanks be deployed in combat in Ukraine by the end of February 2024?
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แน€940
resolved Feb 25
Resolved
YES

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bought แน€170 YES from 24% to 39%

@vitamind @BTE this should be able to resolve Yes.

bought แน€20 of YES
predicted NO

@papa The source for this article seem to be tweets such as this, and the video included in them. However, the video caption says Bradley tanks are deployed, not Abrams. it's even written in English. The video does contain an Abrams tank but there's no indication it's near Avdiivka

predicted YES

@Shump It's Abrams on the image in the linked article.

predicted NO

@papa And how do you know where it is located? Would be very weird titling a news article "Bradleys being deployed in Avdiivka" if the bigger Abrams tanks are also being deployed there.

It's the same as earlier, just photos in an unknown location.

predicted YES

@Shump I don't know, if I knew I would have placed a bet for 100%, not 30%.

How will you resolve this?

predicted YES

@B_K What do you mean?

@BTE Ukraine is a big place and reports from a war zone are not obviously reliable, so what is your methodology for resolving this?