Will my randomly generated five digit number include at least one 7 in it?
10
4
100
resolved Oct 9
Resolved
YES

On October 9, 2022, I shall input at www.random.org requesting a randomly generated number between 0 and 99999. This market shall resolve YES if at least one digit of this is a 7. If there is no 7 in the number, the market shall resolve NO.

Oct 9, 11:08am: The number generated as 74178. This resolves YES.

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Probability is 1-(9/10)^5 ≈ 41%

predicted YES

@Conflux Then this market is well priced.

predicted NO

@BRTD It is!