Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if a national legislative election for the Knesset takes place in the State of Israel between January 1, 2027, and December 31, 2027 (inclusive, Israel Standard Time).

Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

Resolution will be determined by official announcements and reporting from the Central Elections Committee and the official Knesset website. Municipal elections, internal party primaries, or presidential elections (which are conducted internally by the Knesset) do not qualify. The market will resolve to NO if 2027 concludes without voting taking place for a national parliamentary election.

Background

Under Israeli basic law, Knesset terms last four years unless dissolved early or extended under statutory provisions. Israel held legislative elections for the 26th Knesset on October 27, 2026.

Under Israeli electoral rules, if no party leader successfully builds a governing coalition commanding the confidence of at least 61 Knesset members within the mandated consultation and negotiation periods, the Knesset automatically dissolves, triggering snap elections roughly 90 days later. Alternatively, early elections can occur if the Knesset votes to dissolve itself or fails to pass an annual state budget within the legally established deadline.

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