Will the Brazil 2026 election be found to be un-free and/or un-fair by the Organization of American States?
Resolves YES if the OAS finds the election to be not free or not fair.
Resolves NO if the OAS finds the election is generally free and fair.
I will not trade this market.
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I'd like to cancel this question on Brazil's 2026 election--please comment below if you disagree and think I should keep it. I'd like to cancel because the premise is a double-negative and I have created an easier-to-read question that largely replaces it. @mods canc we cancel this?
@B there is a minor problem here in that I had gotten better odds in this market than the other one, and I won't get the returns from that. But you are correct that this one was not as well phrased. Let's see what happens; I am more confident in our elections than I bet there, because there's only so much mana I want to get stuck until late '26.
Created this market which will most likely resolve the opposite way to the current one.
Thought the this question was worded in a confusing way and I wanted to create another market with cleaner wording: https://manifold.markets/B/will-brazils-2026-election-be-free