When will Manifold's Biden Nominee market prices cross Polymarket's price?
10
360Ṁ1298resolved Aug 10
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%95%
May - June
0.3%
January - February
2%
March - April
3%
July - August
The market is questioning when Polymarket's Biden nomination prices will cross those on Manifold.
Corresponding Manifold market: https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n
Polymarket market:
The prices are deemed to have crossed when there is a trade on Polymarket at a price that is greater than or equal to the current price on Manifold. (Manifold's price will be determined using a Python snippet.)
The market will resolve as N/A if no such trade occurs.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ197 | |
| 2 | Ṁ69 | |
| 3 | Ṁ16 | |
| 4 | Ṁ3 | |
| 5 | Ṁ1 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Is Polymarket more accurate than Manifold at p<0.05?
45% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by PolyMarket by end of 2030?
10% chance
Will Manifold have real money markets with at least 1% of the active liquidity of Polymarket by end of 2025?
2% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by Polymarket or Kalshi by end of 2025?
9% chance
Will real-money betting on Polymarket or Manifold become legal for US residents in 2025?
26% chance
At what market cap will Manifold Markets exit?
80m
Will Ben Thompson create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
32% chance
When will Manifold IPO?