Will any US state ban contraception by 2030?
30
109
1k
2029
22%
chance

The right to use contraception is currently protected by previous Supreme Court rulings, which means that states do not have the power to ban: https://reproductiverights.org/sites/default/files/documents/factsheets/Constitutional-Protection-for-the-Right-to-Contraception-Fact-Sheet2.pdf

The overturning of Roe v Wade has prompted many to fear that access to contraception may come under threat: https://reproductiverights.org/sites/default/files/documents/factsheets/Constitutional-Protection-for-the-Right-to-Contraception-Fact-Sheet2.pdf

For the purposes of this market, contraception will include condoms, oral contraceptives, IUD or other implants, but NOT the morning-after pill. If any one of these contraceptive methods is banned, with the ban coming into effect before 2030, I will resolve YES.

If the sale or provision of contraceptives is banned, I will resolve YES even if using contraceptives is not criminalized. If the ban applies only to a subgroup (like unmarried couples) I will resolve YES (except for bans concerning minors, who already have spotty access to contraception).

Restrictions, like removing the requirement of insurance plans to provide contraception, or removing state subsidies for contraception, will not be counted as a ban.

Close date updated to 2029-12-31 11:59 pm

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The FDA bans everything by default until someone spends a zillion dollars on studies and paperwork. Thus many contraceptive pills are already banned in all 50 states. For example: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ormeloxifene

@JonathanRay Thanks. Any advice on how to clarify the resolution criteria in light of this?

@StanPinsent Some US state bans a form of contraception that is not already banned by the FDA?