Will manifold markets meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3%?

Will davidad meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3%?

Will janus/@repligate meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 5%?

Will Alex Zhu meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 2%?

What will Manifold's P(doom) be at the end of 2025?

Will my p(doom) be above 10% in 20 years (2043)?

Will my p(doom) be above 10% in 10 years (2033)?

Will Claire Wang (@clairebookworm) meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 1%?

Will MIRI meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 5%?

Will the VC 50 Years meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3?