Will Manifold ever be worth $1T? [% / 10]
26
1kṀ8052030
9%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Continuation of https://manifold.markets/Austin/will-manifold-ever-be-worth-1b .
There's, what, 4 companies in the world that have hit this milestone? (looked it up, it was 6: Apple, MSFT, Saudi Aramco, TSLA, GOOG, AMZN.)
I'm leveraging the probability by 10x as follows: if at market close time, this would resolve to NO, I'll first roll a d10, and only resolve NO if the d10 comes up with a 0. So for example, a 30% chance in this market would mean a 3% chance IRL.
(I'm hoping I did the math right; if not, lmk and I'll N/A this)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Manifold ever be worth $1B?
10% chance
Will Manifold be profitable before 2030?
20% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by a Fortune 500 company before 2026?
5% chance
Will Manifold be profitable before 2040?
68% chance
Will manifold.love ever be a billion dollar business?
3% chance
Will Manifold raise another $500K USD in 2025?
70% chance
Which company net worth milestones will Manifold achieve before 2028?
Will Manifold achieve break-even profitability in 2025?
7% chance
Will Manifold go bankrupt before 2030?
27% chance
Will Manifold IPO by 2030?
17% chance