
Current list: https://80000hours.org/career-reviews/
Resolves YES iff any career path listed has "forecasting" or "forecast" in its name
If no such list exists, then this resolves N/A.
(A question originally from Fatebook on the EA Forecasting Slack; the predictions varied wildly so I'm interested in betting against others)
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ425 | |
2 | Ṁ196 | |
3 | Ṁ142 | |
4 | Ṁ103 | |
5 | Ṁ84 |
People are also trading
@NicoDelon Hard to say for sure if that leaves it as a “top-recommended” path or not. The second list refers to the first list as “top-ranked”
@JimHays To me it’s clearly no. Austin referred to the top 10 below. It’s now out of the top 10. It’s literally not a top ranked or top recommended career.
@NicoDelon That comment below isn’t part of the resolution criteria, and doesn’t claim to be a clarification of the criteria either
@NicoDelon I took it to mean that Austin thought because it was at the bottom of the list, that meant they might remove it from the page entirely
@JimHays Alright, selling some of my NO to de-risk, but I won’t be happy if this resolves YES (unless they update the list again).