Resolution criteria

• YES if during Monday, October 6, 2025, an official OpenAI channel (a) the DevDay keynote livestream/recording, (b) the OpenAI News/Blog, or (c) an OpenAI press post explicitly states that OpenAI has “achieved AGI,” is “announcing AGI,” or labels a released system as “artificial general intelligence/AGI.” Verification sources: OpenAI DevDay livestream page and OpenAI News/Blog. (openai.com)

• NO if no such explicit claim appears on those official channels by 11:59 p.m. PT on Oct 6, 2025

• Exclusions: media characterizations, investor/partner statements, or vague phrases like “toward AGI,” “near‑AGI,” “AGI‑ready,” or product names containing “AGI” without a clear claim of having achieved AGI do not count. Only OpenAI’s own explicit self‑designation counts.

Background

• OpenAI’s third DevDay is Oct 6, 2025 at Fort Mason, San Francisco; the keynote is livestreamed. (openai.com)

• OpenAI describes AGI in its public materials as AI systems “generally smarter than humans,” and elsewhere historically as surpassing humans at most economically valuable work; definitions vary across the industry. (openai.com)

Considerations

• Because “AGI” lacks a universally accepted technical threshold, this market resolves solely on OpenAI’s explicit use of the term to describe an achieved system at DevDay, not on external interpretations or capability benchmarks.