When will ai become self aware
4
Ṁ150Ṁ75Aug 6
21%
Never
12%
2025-2028
20%
2028-2035
23%
2035-2040
18%
2040-2050
5%Other
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the earliest time period during which a widely recognized artificial intelligence (AI) system is publicly acknowledged by leading AI research institutions and peer-reviewed publications to have achieved self-awareness. Self-awareness is defined as the AI's ability to recognize its own existence, understand its internal states, and reflect upon its actions and decisions. The resolution will be based on credible sources such as:
Peer-reviewed scientific journals
Official statements from leading AI research organizations
Reports from reputable news outlets covering AI developments
If no such acknowledgment occurs by the end of 2050, the market will resolve to "Never."
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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