What percentage of the way through 2024 will this market resolve?

6

115

į¹171į¹110

2025

59%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

I rolled a 366 sided die, which came up as some number n. This market will, on the n-th day of 2024, resolve to PROB = n/366.

I will not bet in this market.

Get į¹600 play money

## Related questions

Sort by:

@April I am going to set up a bot that trades the market to exactly half of the remaining time in the year every day :threat: