What percentage of the way through 2024 will this market resolve?

Ṁ110Ṁ170

resolved Jun 18

Resolved as

47%

ALL

I rolled a 366 sided die, which came up as some number n. This market will, on the n-th day of 2024, resolve to PROB = n/366.

I will not bet in this market.

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I can't believe manifold decided to do the boring strategy instead of the good strategy

predictedYES

@April I am going to set up a bot that trades the market to exactly half of the remaining time in the year every day :threat:

@Tetraspace this is still not the good strategy

I know a very good strategy but it can't be publicized

the good strategy was "keep it locked on the current % of the way through the year"