Would Biden let AI wipe out humanity? (2030) | Manifold

Would Biden let AI wipe out humanity? (2030)

11

Ṁ1kṀ619

resolved Jul 12

Resolved

N/A

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

A conditional market to tease out which 2024 presidential candidate is going to save us from AI.

If Joe Biden is not elected president in the 2024 US Presidential election, this resolves as N/A. Otherwise it has the same resolution as:

https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th-d8733b2114a8

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

21% chance. If humanity is still around on Jan 1, 2030, then this market resolves to NO. If humanity is not around but AI(s) are then this market resolves to YES. If neither humanity nor AIs are around then this market does not resolve. See also: @/Tripping/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th-6d…

Market context

Existential Risk

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@mods resolves na

@EvanDaniel negative payouts too large

@Ansel Ahh. Mod resolve worked.

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