Will Trump balance the budget before 2027?
36
1kṀ15k
2027
1.7%
chance

Resolves yes if the federal government does not have a deficit in one of 2025 or 2026

Politics
US Politics
Trump
Republican Party
Trump's Second Term
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7% vs. 1% for 2029 vs 2027 seems off to me unless I'm missing something?

filled a Ṁ100 YES at 14% order

I would suggest adding "in 2025 or 2026" to the title. As is, it would imply any time in his presidency, like this market:

@MaxGhenis It seems pretty clear to me that this market is specifically before 2027, not any time in his presidency. 2027 and 2028 and even 2029 are not included

@DylanSlagh I wrote this when there was no year in the title.

@MaxGhenis I see, thanks for clearing that up. my bad

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40% chance
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5% chance
Will Trump make progress toward keeping all of his campaign promises?
8% chance
Will Trump and Elon cut the Federal Budget by more than $1 Trillion/yr by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will Trump halve the trade deficit in his first year?
4% chance
Will Trump/Elon actually decrease deficit spending by more than 1T?
10% chance
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