Will Trump balance the budget before 2027?
37
1kṀ15k
2027
3%
chance

Resolves yes if the federal government does not have a deficit in one of 2025 or 2026

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US Politics
Trump
Trump's Second Term
Republican Party
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7% vs. 1% for 2029 vs 2027 seems off to me unless I'm missing something?

filled a Ṁ100 YES at 14% order

I would suggest adding "in 2025 or 2026" to the title. As is, it would imply any time in his presidency, like this market:

@MaxGhenis It seems pretty clear to me that this market is specifically before 2027, not any time in his presidency. 2027 and 2028 and even 2029 are not included

@DylanSlagh I wrote this when there was no year in the title.

@MaxGhenis I see, thanks for clearing that up. my bad

People are also trading

Will Trump balance the U.S. budget before his term ends?
4% chance
Will Trump halve the trade deficit in his first year?
3% chance
Will Donald trump send out another stimulus package to all americans before January 1st, 2026?
+11% 1d13% chance
Will Donald Trump establish a new calendar while president?
5% chance
Will Trump and Elon cut the Federal Budget by more than $1 Trillion/yr by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will Trump eliminate any social programs in his second term?
+4% 1d31% chance
Will Trump reduce the trade deficit in his first year?
23% chance
Will the Trade deficit of the US be 10% lower at the end of Trump’s 2nd term
-6% 1d54% chance
Will Trump/Elon actually decrease deficit spending by more than 1T?
5% chance
Will the federal budget AND deficit AND national debt be higher when Trump ceases being president?
78% chance
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