Which of these new vehicle types will Tesla produce by 2034?
54
2.9k
2034
5%
A flying car
33%
A bus
11%
An airplane
70%
A minibus

A flying car is defined as a consumer passenger flying vehicle, which can hold at least two people and can be 'piloted' by a consumer-owner with no more skill needed than that necessary to drive a passenger vehicle. Licensing requirements should also be not significantly more onerous than an ordinary driving license. The vehicle must also be street-legal in at least one United States state.

A bus is a road-worthy vehicle that can carry 16 or more persons.

A minibus is a road-worthy vehicle that can carry 8-15 persons.

An airplane is a powered flying vehicle with fixed wings and a weight greater than that of the air it displaces.


To resolve yes, a vehicle must be delivered to at least one consumer before the close date.

If Tesla changes name in the meantime, this market applies to the renamed company. If Tesla undergoes substantial reorganisation before 2034 and before delivering the vehicles, I will choose one main "successor" entity to stand in for Tesla in this market.

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Some minivans (Toyota Sienna) hold 8 people. Would a minivan count?

@TobyBW The main criterion is the number of occupants - if they call it a minivan but it holds 8 ppl then that counts

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