Will Tesla officially announce the development or launch of a new transportation vehicle type by December 31, 2025?
7
76
170
2025
40%
chance

Resolution Criteria:

  1. Official Announcement: The announcement must come from Tesla, Inc. or an authorized representative (such as Elon Musk) in an official capacity. Speculations, rumors, or unofficial reports are not sufficient.

  2. New Transportation Vehicle Type: The announced vehicle must be a new type that Tesla has not previously sold. For clarity, a "new type" means a fundamentally different kind of vehicle (motorcycle, plane, helicopter, boat, or vehicle with less or more than 4 wheels) rather than a new model of an existing type.

  3. Development or Launch: The announcement should clearly state that Tesla is either developing or launching the new vehicle type. Mere expression of interest or consideration is not sufficient.

  4. Deadline: The official announcement must be made on or before December 31, 2025.

  5. Judgement: Evidence of compliance with these criteria can come from reputable media reports, official Tesla communications, or public statements by authorized Tesla representatives.

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