Will Tesla, by 2030, be the only OEM to sell more than 1 Million Vehicles per Year?
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Even if you love Tesla, this seems really, really unlikely. In 2022, 15 makers sold more than 1m. The top maker, Toyota, sold just under 10m itself.
In the easiest case, this assumes Tesla goes from ~2% market share to 75% in 8 years. If there's consolidation and the total number of cars sold worldwide goes up, Tesla would need to capture 80% or 90% market share. That's next to impossible.
@DrewVolpe Agree... I'm super bullish, but other brands may sell worse cars and people will buy them hahaha
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