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MANIFOLD
Will the U.S. prime-age employment-population ratio be below 50.0% in August 2029?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ82
2029
27%
chance

Resolves YES if the first published seasonally adjusted August 2029 value of FRED series LNS12300060 (Employment-Population Ratio – 25–54 Yrs.) is below 50.0%. Otherwise, it resolves NO.

We will use the first published value for August 2029, ignoring subsequent revisions. If no August 2029 value has been published by December 31, 2029, the bet is void and this market will be canceled.

(This market tracks a charity bet between Andy McKenzie and Jeff Kaufman. https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BQksdkrtXDbr3CtoE/ai-tweets?commentId=ZbgAGmbcnKZWtsgh6)

Market context
Inflation
US Economy
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