Will the US be at full employment in December 2026? | Manifold

Will the US be at full employment in December 2026?

2

Ṁ100Ṁ33

Dec 31

39%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Full employment is when job openings exceed the number unemployed

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1J90z

Graph and download economic data for Job Openings: Total Nonfarm from Jan 1948 to May 2026 about job openings, vacancy, nonfarm, USA, 16 years +, household survey, and unemployment.

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will US unemployment get above 6% in 2026?

+6% 1d21% chance

Will US unemployment be 4.4% or higher in June 2026?

Will May 2026 U.S. job openings be at least 7.5 million?

Will June 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?

Will the August 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?

Will US unemployment exceed 5% in 2026?

Will US unemployment exceed 4.5% at any point in 2026?

Will July 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?

Will the July 2026 U.S. U-6 unemployment rate be at least 8.0%?

Will the July 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?

Related questions

Will US unemployment get above 6% in 2026?

Will US unemployment be 4.4% or higher in June 2026?

Will May 2026 U.S. job openings be at least 7.5 million?

Will June 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?

Will the August 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?

Will US unemployment exceed 5% in 2026?

Will US unemployment exceed 4.5% at any point in 2026?

Will July 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?

Will the July 2026 U.S. U-6 unemployment rate be at least 8.0%?

Will the July 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?