Will the US be at full employment in December 2026?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ59Dec 31
43%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Full employment is when job openings exceed the number unemployed
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will US unemployment exceed 4.5% at any point in 2026?
48% chance
Will the August 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?
31% chance
Will US unemployment get above 6% in 2026?
21% chance
Will US unemployment exceed 5% in 2026?
39% chance
Will July 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
25% chance
Will September 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
45% chance
Will the July 2026 U.S. U-6 unemployment rate be at least 8.0%?
54% chance
Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
41% chance
Will the November 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?
39% chance
Will the US enter a recession in 2026?
11% chance
