When will the Nazis will have a working atomic weapon (as per the majority opinion of the Atomic Security Task Force)?
5
Ṁ310Ṁ315resolved Sep 24
100%34%
Late 1944
21%
By the end of 1943
27%
Early--Mid 1944
4%
Early--Mid 1945
4%
Late 1945
10%
1946 (or later)
For players of the "Atoms & Espionage: Oppenheimer's Enigma" game during Manifest 2023
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@AndyMartin Yeah, the Farm Hall transcripts are a great record. Definitely shows how far the Germans physicists were from even a concrete plan to build the bomb.
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