When will a nuclear weapon be used for military purposes? | Manifold

When will a nuclear weapon be used for military purposes?

12

Ṁ622Ṁ1.7k

2200

1%

2023

1%

2024

1%

2025

6%

2026–2027

7%

2028-2030

9%

2031–2035

8%

2036–2040

13%

2041–2050

9%

2051–2060

7%

2061–2070

7%

2071–2080

7%

2081–2090

7%

2091–2100

15%

Not before 2101

The question will be resolved to the first year (after 1945) during which any entity intentionally detonate a nuclear device that causes substantial damage, harm, or casualties as an act of aggression to advance military objectives against an adversary.

The detonation must be a hostile action deployed for a military purpose, not a test or accident.

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