Will any head of state or head of government of a UN member country be assassinated in 2024?

22

1kṀ6090

resolved Jan 3

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NO

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@AndrewG resolves NO

bought Ṁ110 NO

Similar market: https://manifold.markets/Ethoin/will-any-world-leaders-be-assassina

Is this only incumbents? Would Shinzo Abe count?

yeah; no

Base rate around 4 or 5 in the past two decades.

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Will there be an assassination of a US head of Government by the end of 2024?

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Will there be an assassination of an American politician by the end of 2025?

Any US president (current or former) is assassinated before 2030?

Do you think Trump will be assassinated if he wins the 2024 election during his 4 yrs in office?

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Related questions

Will there be an assassination of a US head of Government by the end of 2024?

Will another United States president be assassinated before the end of 2034?

Will any current or former president of the United States be assassinated before 2030?

Will there be 5 or more assassinations/executions of heads of state/government in the 2020s?

Will Trump be assassinated during his second term?

Will there be an assassination of an American politician by the end of 2025?

Any US president (current or former) is assassinated before 2030?

Do you think Trump will be assassinated if he wins the 2024 election during his 4 yrs in office?

Will a sitting or former US President be killed by 2030?

Will a US president order the assassination of any of the following, and get away without criminal charges before 2029?

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