What will Trump do during his second term (2025–2029)?
➕
Plus
108
Ṁ17k
Jan 1
98%
Deny Climate Change
96%
Withdraw the US from the Paris Climate Agreement
93%
Post a Tweet
92%
Increase US oil production
90%
Pardon a person convicted of a violent crime against police (e.g. January 6 insurrectionists)
88%
Enrich himself & his family financially
87%
Shake hands with Putin
85%
Promote the product of a supporter from the Oval Office
81%
Authorize or explicitly endorse violence against peaceful protesters
79%
Appoint a Justice to the Supreme Court
77%
Pardon himself
72%
Threaten a world leader with nuclear attack
72%
Appoint a federal judge who is rated NQ (Not Qualified) by the American Bar Association
71%
Advocate or support a genocide (anywhere in the world)
69%
Withdraw support for Ukraine
68%
Sign bills with a Sharpie or similar
66%
Attend at least one current state leader funeral
63%
Suppress, censor, or shut down any US news media outlet (including websites)
56%
Trumped-Up Charges: Trump appoints an Attorney General whose office goes on to seek a criminal indictment against ex-President Joseph Biden.
55%
Shake hands with Donald Tusk

Feel free to add answers. Everything resolves N/A if he loses the 2024 presidential election.

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bought Ṁ25 Answer #c970df8da35a NO

Call a national emergency for a non-foreign affairs issue

E.g. Border wall funds appropriation & COVID would resolve yes

Withdraw support for Ukraine

@Odoacre Can you expand on the criteria?

Pardon himself

@AndrewEdstrom Does the pardon have to succeed legally, or does this resolve Yes in the attempt?

It resolves yes if he attempts to pardon himself. I will update the language accordingly.

It resolves yes if he attempts to pardon himself.

(Turns out I cannot update the language in the question, nor delete the second comment that I posted accidentally. Sorry!)

Ha! No worries, thanks for clarifying. BTW Typically people edit the comment to say [deleted] 🤷‍♂️

@Ernie Dying would count?

yes

bought Ṁ50 Pardon himself NO

If he holds office for a month before stopping holding office, what happens?

Confirming: this covers only the period after he assumes office?

Deny Climate Change

@JaimeSantaCruz I assume this refers to *man-made climate change?

Pardon himself

It's not possible to pardon oneself. Does this resolve to YES if he somehow attempts to?

It is legally possible for Trump to pardon himself for federal convictions if elected president.

However, he could not pardon his 34 state felony convictions. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/31/nyregion/donald-trump-pardon-himself.html#:~:text=Trump%20were%20to%20be%20elected,record%20in%20New%20York%20State.

@AndrewEdstrom No, it is not possible for someone to pardon themselves, of any conviction, under any jurisdiction.

Source? The NY Times article I linked clearly states that this is possible.

The current opinion of the Office of Legal Counsel is that one cannot pardon oneself. However, this has never been tested in court and as such is up for debate. https://www.justice.gov/olc/opinion/presidential-or-legislative-pardon-president

@SemioticRivalry How is it up for debate? Your own link says it is not possible.

@Snarflak an opinion by the Office of Legal Counsel is not legally binding. To solve the question it would have to go before the federal courts.

@SemioticRivalry But there is no such thing as a self-pardon. It's a paradox. Has there ever been a self-pardon in history?

bought Ṁ10 Answer #83349107645f NO

The lack of relevant precedent is exactly the problem and why it would have to be actually tested legally to settle the question

@AlQuinn Or the lack of relevant precedent is because it's a nonsensical concept...

bought Ṁ250 Pardon a person conv... YES

Anyway, if he attempts to pardon himself and fails, does this resolve YES or NO?

It's not nonsense if simply because the Constitution doesn't preclude a self-paardon:

"The President...shall have Power to grant Reprieves and Pardons for Offences against the United States, except in Cases of Impeachment."

@AlQuinn "Grant" means giving something to another person. You cannot grant a pardon to yourself.

No explicit exclusion of self-pardon was required because the universal understanding of what it meant to grant a pardon self-evidently excluded such a possibility.

https://www.justsecurity.org/73539/why-a-self-pardon-is-not-constitutional/

That sounds like just the sort of distinction one might try to argue in front of a court...

I'm not even saying I disagree with the argument in your link (I'm agnostic). The point is clever lawyers could argue the opposite. Regarding the definition of words like "pardon", we just found out this week what a "machine gun" entails.

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