Will Benjamin Netanyahu still be the Prime Minister of Israel throughout this month?
Plus
31
Ṁ11kresolved Jan 4
Resolved
YESMar 2024
Resolved
YESApr 2024
Resolved
YESMay 2024
Resolved
YESJun 2024
Resolved
YESJuly 2024
Resolved
YESAug 2024
Resolved
YESSep 2024
Resolved
YESOct 2024
Resolved
YESNov 2024
Resolved
YESDec 2024
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@mods This resolves yes for June, Ammon Lam says in his bio that he is travelling until August 1 and that mods should resolve the markets for him.
Let's talk timeline. We have 3 options:
Elections take place, and someone else forms a new government. This requires 90 days from announcing the elections, and some weeks of negotiations for the new government.
Another PM in the same Knesset. Does not happen that frequently lately, and seems unreasonable on the current situation.
Personal/medical issue make him quit. This can happen quite fast, though I'm sceptical that even in that condition it will happen in April
Related questions
Related questions
Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2025?
70% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the Israel–Hamas war ends?
8% chance
Will Netanyahu stay the Prime Minister of Israel until July 15th 2025?
75% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu stop being prime minister of Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas war
14% chance
If the Israel-Hamas ceasefire lasts according to the agreement, will Netanyahu still be PM by the end of July 2025?
70% chance
When will Benjamin Netanyahu be replaced as Prime Minister of Israel?
Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the end of 2025?
34% chance
Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?
32% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?
86% chance
Will Netanyahu remain Prime Minister through January 31, 2025?
99% chance