When will a large majority of rideshare be done by self-driving cars?
12
500Ṁ1307
2061
69%
Before 2029
20%
2030-2034
4%
2035-2039
1.1%
2040-2044
1.1%
2045-2049
1.1%
2050-2054
1.1%
2055-2059
2%
Other

Resolve the year in which a large majority of rideshare rides (80% or more) are completed by self-driving cars (i.e., the passenger is the only person in the car) within the US

Market context
Self-Driving Vehicles
Automotive
Waymo
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bought Ṁ2 YES

What happens if it reaches 80% in 2029? It sorta looks like this resolves as "other".

what's rideshare? all taxis/ubers/lyfts?

uber and lyft is rideshare, taxi is not

Assuming this is globally?

@redacted Sorry I meant for US only. Updated the description

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+3% 1d42% chance
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-6% 1d83% chance
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79% chance
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37% chance
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21% chance
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