Will I think that CEA has done a significantly bad thing before end of 2026?
10
1kṀ360
2027
36%
chance

Resolves YES if, in the best judgement of me or people I trust, Centre for Effective Altruism has committed a significant malfeasance before end of 2026. Else resolves NO.

See also:

https://manifold.markets/Amaryllis/will-vox-write-an-article-about-a-s-c10c60e6e5e0

https://manifold.markets/Amaryllis/will-nyt-write-an-article-about-a-s-aaa3f2ff5c16

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