When will a large-scale geoengineering intervention cause an international dispute?
10
1kṀ377Nov 23
79%
2040
76%
2060
56%
2035
50%
2045
50%
2050
50%
2055
47%
2030
17%
2025
Disclaimers:
This question is part of Foresight’s 2023 Vision Weekends to help spark discussion amongst participants, so the phrasing and resolution criteria may be vaguer than I would normally like for this site. Apologies for that. We thought it would still be useful to make the market public to potentially inform other discussions.
If you would to add alternative answers, please do so in the comments!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@AllisonDuettmann How will these resolve? Are they each indpendent, so that you might have some early ones resolve Yes while later ones resolve No if there aren't any further disputes?
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