Will climate intervention (geoengineering) reduce global mean surface temperature by at least 0.1°C by 2030?
6
100Ṁ97
2029
20%
chance

Resolution criteria:

  • Resolves YES if I am 80% confident that this has occurred. Peer-reviewed studies making this claim will probably be necessary, but not necessarily sufficient.

  • The intervention must be intentional (excludes coincidental effects of non-climate policies)

    Learn more about climate interventions : https://climateinterventions.org/

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