We will witness a major virus outbreak in which AI is a crucial development component by... ?
Plus
15
Ṁ561Nov 22
72%
2050
70%
2045
67%
2040
67%
2035
49%
2030
2%
2025
Can be caused either by an accident or by abuse, having a higher infection-fatality ratio (IFR) than covid-19.
All years after the year this happens will resolve to YES, e.g. if it happens in 2031, then 2035, 2040 etc will all resolve in YES.
Disclaimers:
This question is part of Foresight’s 2023 Vision Weekends to help spark discussion amongst participants, so the phrasing and resolution criteria may be vaguer than I would normally like for this site. Apologies for that. We thought it would still be useful to make the market public to potentially inform other discussions.
If you would to add alternative answers, please do so in the comments!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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