A multipolar AGI scenario is safer than a singleton AGI scenario
5
130Ṁ48
Nov 23
30%
chance

Disclaimers:

  1. This question is part of Foresight’s 2023 Vision Weekends to help spark discussion amongst participants, so the phrasing and resolution criteria may be vaguer than I would normally like for this site. Apologies for that. We thought it would still be useful to make the market public to potentially inform other discussions.

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