
Conditional on safe AGI being developed, will there be significant mathematical results proving its safety properties?
7
170Ṁ3502060
24%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
i.e. does "safe AI" imply "deep theoretical understanding of safe AI"?
I am not going to try to define AGI. Feel free to ask about particular edge cases.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2033?
58% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
40% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
3% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
14% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
6% chance
When will AGI be developed and released to the public?
Will we get AGI before 2048?
88% chance
Will we get AGI before 2046?
85% chance
If AGI has an okay outcome, will there be an AGI singleton?
25% chance
Will we get AGI before 2047?
86% chance