A nuclear weapon is used in any conflict before January 1, 2029
10
100Ṁ2672028
21%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market evaluates the likelihood of a nuclear weapon (dirty bomb, tactical nuke, war-heard, etc.) being used in any conflict worldwide before January 1 2029. With rising global tensions and the modernization of nuclear arsenals by several countries, the risk of nuclear weapon use is a pressing concern. Resolution will be based on reports from international news agencies and official government statements.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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