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MANIFOLD
Will there be a large car-free population center by 2040?
6
Ṁ180Ṁ207
resolved Jan 4
Resolved
N/A

For the purpose of this question a large population center means > 500.000 peple. For this question to resolve to YES there needs to be a complete ban on private transport in cars or other motorized vehicles significantly larger then the person it transports.
Bikes, motorized scooters, etc. can still be allowed. Car-based emergency services and commercial traffic can be excluded from the ban.

Mar 28, 1:57pm: Will there a be large car-free population center by 2040? → Will there be a large car-free population center by 2040?

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Resolved N/A because it is a poorly defined question that doesn't resolve for 15 years.

How would you handle bans on parts of the center's territory? Is it sufficient to have 500 000 people living in a zone affected by the ban, even if the city itself is much larger? An example would be New York banning cars on half of Manhattan island...

predictedNO

@MartinModrak No, I wouldn't resolve YES in such a case. Inner cities with restricted car access already exists (e.g. Venice). I would only consider population centers that are mostly car free.

@AlexbGoode I'd still say that the probability depends highly on definitions of "population center" and mostly - if "population center" means "whole agglomeration of city" and "mostly" means "> 50% of area" this is much less plausible than "administrative borders of a city" and "> 50% population".

predictedNO

@MartinModrak you are right. I should have been more thorough in defining the criteria. To me it is pretty clear what I mean by a car free city, but I should have taken more time to write this.

I would like to update the title and description, without changing the spirit of the question.

What is the agreed procedure? Do I edit this market or resolve it NA and try again?