Will it be illegal to drive a car in the US by end of 2040? | Manifold

Will it be illegal to drive a car in the US by end of 2040?

20

1kṀ1672

2041

4%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

The market will resolve as YES if any federal law prohibits human drivers from operating any type of motor vehicle on public roads by December 31, 2040.

The market will resolve as NO if no such law exists by that date.

The market will not consider any exemptions, waivers, or grandfather clauses that may allow some drivers to continue driving under certain conditions. The market will also not consider any laws that require drivers to obtain a special permit that is not easily achievable or widely available.

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