Will cars still be a dominant form of personal transportation in 2050?
Basic
5
Ṁ2792050
60%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if in 2050 "motor vehicles per 1000 people" in either the USA or China is above 300.
Resolves NO if they're both below 300.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_and_territories_by_motor_vehicles_per_capita
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
65% chance
Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?
69% chance
What kind of cars will be most sold in 2035?
Will I drive a car in 2030?
66% chance
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
54% chance
Will I drive a car in 2040?
30% chance
Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?
55% chance
Will I drive a car in 2050?
19% chance
Will we have flying cars commercially available by the year 2035?
33% chance
Will at least 20% of cars I see be self-driving by 2030?
37% chance