Will OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, or xAI launch a S0TA frontier model before US Election Day (November 5, 2024)?
11
100Ṁ671
resolved Oct 2
Resolved
YES

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bought Ṁ50 YES

o1 seems to advance SOTA quite a bit

sold Ṁ5 NO

0.85×0.9×0.75×0.9 gives roughly 50%

OpenAI, xAI, Anthropic, Deepmind

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