Will OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Meta release a model with context window >= 5M tokens before Dec 31, 2026?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ632027
72%
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Resolution criteria (strict):
Resolves YES if OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Meta publicly releases a model documented with context window >= 5,000,000 tokens by 2026-12-31.
Must be an official release with public documentation or official product/API announcement.
Rumors, leaks, unofficial benchmarks, or third-party claims do NOT count.
If no qualifying official release appears by deadline, resolves NO.
Primary sources:
Official model/API documentation pages
Official company release notes / product announcements
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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