Will a major airliner accident happen in the US, physically injuring more than 25 people within 2024?
4
37
130
2025
6%
chance
737 Grounded due to door issue
-1.0%
on
Jan 10
LATAM Airlines Flight 800
Mar 11

Talking about a downed airliner. Doesn't have to be the 737 MAX but can't be like a private charter operation flying smaller jets.
Examples of major airlines: American, Delta, United, Southwest, JetBlue, Alaskan Fronteir, Allegiant, Spirit... Major International airlines arriving or departing from US airports/airspace count so long as part of the leg was flown in US airspace

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