Will a major airliner accident happen in the US, physically injuring more than 25 people within 2024?
Basic
4
Ṁ347Jan 1
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Talking about a downed airliner. Doesn't have to be the 737 MAX but can't be like a private charter operation flying smaller jets.
Examples of major airlines: American, Delta, United, Southwest, JetBlue, Alaskan Fronteir, Allegiant, Spirit... Major International airlines arriving or departing from US airports/airspace count so long as part of the leg was flown in US airspace
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a single shooting incident kill at least 20 people in the US during 2024?
9% chance
Will there be a fatal airliner crash in the US before the end of 2024?
12% chance
Will there be a fatality of any kind attributed, at least in part, to aircraft controller error before 2025.
13% chance
Will there be a major aviation accident this year with greater loss of life than 2023?
26% chance
Will there be a mass shooting with more than 20 fatalities in the US in 2024?
20% chance
Will there be a second civil aviation airport collision with fatalities in 2024?
18% chance
Will any minority pilot on a US airline make a mistake that results in at least one other person's death before 2028?
46% chance
Will there be a fatal space accident before 2030?
52% chance
Will a single natural disaster event kill more than 50,000 people in 2024?
13% chance
On which airline will the next major aviation disaster occur?