Will humanoid robots be deployed to combat before 2035?
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2036
49%
chance

Resolves YES if at least one actor deploys at least one humanoid robot to active combat before 2035. Non-combat military use (such as military logistics) does not count. The robot does not have to be autonomous but can be remote controlled.

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bought Ṁ10 of NO

It doesn't make sense for a robot to be bipedal. Humans evolved bipedalism to be better calorie efficient long distance runners.

No one cares how the robot looks while it is shooting you in the face

Humanoid ?= bipedal? Is that the only criterion?

predicts NO

@AlexBokov No, bipedal is not the only criterion, a non-humanoid bipedal robot would not count. For example a robot similar to TARS in this scene from Interstellar would NOT count.

Exactly what counts as humanoid is intentionally left vague, but most robots currently being marketed as humanoid would.

@komplexkonjugat So it sounds like what you're going for is a robot that is intended to look human beyond what's necessary for it to operate human-shaped vehicles and equipment? Glad I asked that's a much more specific scenario

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