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Does "recieve" imply that those jets are in physical and/or legal possession of the Ukraine air force, or are jets earmarked to be handed over enough to resolve yes?

@MartinModrak Must be in the physical possession of the Ukrainian air force or being physically transported to Ukraine.

Arb - this market should be strictly lower than both the F-16 option at:https://manifold.markets/MartinModrak/which-nonrussian-fighter-jet-will-b

as well as https://manifold.markets/MartinModrak/will-ukraine-receive-nonrussian-fig

Will Ukraine receive non-Russian fighter jets (Oct 2024 limit)

73% chance. This market is about credible reporting of the aircraft arriving in Ukraine AND being under control of the Ukrainian army/state. Market will resolve YES once such reports are made public, otherwise it resolves to NO on 1st November 2024. If there are rumours/uncofirmed reports of jets ar…