This market resolves YES if there is a US federal antitrust ruling against a frontier lab by the end of 2032.

"US federal antitrust ruling" means a final verdict in a case where the central point of contention is antitrust behavior, issued by any duly appointed judge or panel of judges within the United States federal court system.

• Verdicts that get overturned on appeal will still count towards the resolution.

• Preliminary injunctions or intermediate rulings that are not final verdicts will not count towards the resolution criteria.

"Against" means that the verdict concludes that the frontier lab in question has violated antitrust law to a punishable degree.

"2025 frontier lab" is taken to mean any of the following:

• OpenAI

• Anthropic

• Meta

• xAI

• Google Deepmind (In the case of Google, potential verdicts must be related to Deepmind itself, as opposed to the behavior of the parent company)

"End of 2032" means "by midnight, December 31, 2032".