Will a second U.S. Supreme Court Justice publicly announce they are retiring any time during President Biden's first term in office?
29
39
304
2025
17%
chance
This market will resolve yes if a U.S. Supreme Court Justice makes their own public announcement they are retiring while President Biden is still in office during his first term (up until January 20, 2025.) If a Justice dies or leaves the court in some other manner than retirement, this market will resolve no. If no Justice announces their own retirement, this market will resolve as no. If President Biden retires or is no longer President due to some other circumstance before the end of his first term and a Justice has not announced their retirement by that point, this market will resolve as no.
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