When will I first dance off against a humanoid robot?
6
Ṁ1kṀ3752035
26%
Jan-Jun 2026
20%
Jul-Dec 2026
17%
Jan-Jun 2027
17%
Jul-Dec 2027
20%
2028 or later
Inspired by https://x.com/Liv_Boeree/status/1979626315415199995
Resolves YES for the time period when I first dance off against a humanoid robot in a public setting. Will send video evidence to whoever asks nicely.
Trying to do this ASAP so anyone with a robot and a disco ball in SF should hmu!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Yes, socio problems can have technological solutions,
Robot will win, unless you interact with it meaningfully, even slightly.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will an autonomous humanoid robot consistently defeat top tennis players by 2040?
64% chance
In what year will a humanoid robot beat an olympic champion at their sport?
Will I (@Bayesian) see a humanoid robot in person, in 2026?
14% chance
Humanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027?
27% chance
When will a humanoid robot beat a human tennis pro in a singles match
2035
Will there be a humanoid robot that can move with human-like precision and flexibility before April of 2028?
41% chance
When will a humanoid robot first be used to kill someone?
2034
A self-contained humanoid robot beats a pro table tennis player before 2035
60% chance
When will a humanoid robot be capable of driving?
2032
A self-contained humanoid robot beats a pro tennis player before 2035
47% chance