When will I first dance off against a humanoid robot?
6
Ṁ1kṀ3752035
26%
Jan-Jun 2026
20%
Jul-Dec 2026
17%
Jan-Jun 2027
17%
Jul-Dec 2027
20%
2028 or later
Inspired by https://x.com/Liv_Boeree/status/1979626315415199995
Resolves YES for the time period when I first dance off against a humanoid robot in a public setting. Will send video evidence to whoever asks nicely.
Trying to do this ASAP so anyone with a robot and a disco ball in SF should hmu!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Yes, socio problems can have technological solutions,
Robot will win, unless you interact with it meaningfully, even slightly.
People are also trading
Related questions
In what year will a humanoid robot beat an olympic champion at their sport?
Will 2K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2029?
99% chance
Will there be a humanoid robot that can move with human-like precision and flexibility before April of 2028?
43% chance
Will 5K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2029?
98% chance
Will 10K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2029?
96% chance
Humanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027?
5% chance
A self-contained humanoid robot beats a pro table tennis player before 2035
60% chance
Will an autonomous humanoid robot consistently defeat top tennis players by 2040?
65% chance
A self-contained humanoid robot beats a pro tennis player before 2035
60% chance
A self-contained humanoid robot beats a pro pickleball player before 2035
34% chance