Will Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire or other cessation of hostilities before the 100th day of Trump’s term?
Basic
5
Ṁ98
May 1
28%
chance

This is one of 25 props in the tenth annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:

https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2025-narcissist-forecasting-contest

It will be adjudicated by judges as described in the fine print of the entry form:

https://forms.gle/Zh6vvRw2YgdYSdgV6

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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