Currently, charities listed at https://manifold.markets/charity are mostly at least tangentially aligned with common EA/rationalist cause areas and goals. Some may be judged by many rationalists to be less effective (e.g. I don't know many people who argue that the WWF is the best way to reduce animal suffering). This may be because these were the charities most desired by current users and adding a charity to the list takes time and effort. But, equally, there's surely some part of the manifold devs and community managers that feels resistant to adding charities they either find profoundly ineffective or actively harmful.

Depending on your viewpoints, you probably find at least one of the following 501(c) organizations to be net negative (please don't read too much into the distribution here, just tried to grab enough variety so there's something for everybody):

-The National Rifle Association

-Planned Parenthood Federation of America

-Shen Yun Performing Arts

-Emergency Committee for Israel

-Catholics United

-FWD.us

-Brady: United Against Gun Violence

Should Manifold actively choose not to list some charities? I will resolve this market to the market % at close. If it appears someone has swooped in to move the market at the last moment, I reserve the right to re-open the market to allow people to correct it. No bright-line test because those are gameable.

Related: https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/will-manifold-support-donating-mana