Will the 51st state be admitted before the 51st president takes office?
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32
Ṁ2624
2030
20%
chance

Presidents are numbered according to uninterrupted periods served by the same person.

The 51st state is considered to have been admitted when the president issues a proclamation officially admitting the 51st state.

The 51st president is deemed to have taken office at noon on the 20th day of January after the election.

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This probably resolves "no" further in future then people are estimating, and situations like "East Washington" make it more likely then only DC/Puerto Rico

bought Ṁ50 YES from 17% to 20%

Are you counting presidents by the number of individuals, or the number of times the president has changed (i.e. does Grover Cleveland count as 1 or 2 here)?

@hct

Per the above rules:

Presidents are numbered according to uninterrupted periods served by the same person.

Accordingly, Grover Cleveland is both number 22 and 24.

Nice market! Isn't there an official date of admission of each new state to the union? If so, maybe it'd be better to be use that rather than redefining it for the purposes of the market? In any case, it would probably not make a difference.

@BrunoParga @traders I have updated the description to reflect that as the new resolution criteria

cute market!

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