Which of the following people, if nominated, will be confirmed by the Senate? [Add Answers]
➕
Plus
11
Ṁ1390
2026
92%
Marco Rubio
83%
Scott Bessent
80%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
80%
Sean Duffy
76%
Doug Burgum
75%
Pam Bondi
74%
Howard Lutnick
74%
Kristi Noem
71%
Linda McMahon
69%
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.
69%
Brooke Rollins
69%
Scott Turner
69%
Chris Wright
69%
Douglas Collins
58%
Pete Hegseth
55%
Martin A. Makary
55%
Janette Nesheiwat
50%
D. John Sauer
50%
Mehmet Oz
48%
Tulsi Gabbard

Which of the above-listed people will be confirmed by the Senate?

§1 - A market will resolve "yes" once the Senate has confirmed that person. This will only apply to Senate confirmable positions

§2 - If the nomination is withdrawn after it is formally submitted to the Senate, the market will resolve "no". If the Senate rejects the nomination, the market will resolve no.

§3 - If both the Trump administration and the nominee confirm that they will be withdrawing their name from consideration for nomination before their nomination is submitted to the Senate, that market will resolve N/A.

§4 - A recess appointment will not be sufficient to resolve a market to "yes"

§5 - On Adding Answers:

  • I reserve the right to N/A any answer that is not in keeping with the spirit of this market

  • If an answer is added after that answer has already satisfied the criteria to resolve, that answer will resolve N/A

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules