81
558
Ṁ42KṀ1.6K
resolved Jun 29
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
See the question on metaculus: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/15148/virgin-galactic-commercial-flight-q1-q2-2023/
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predicted YES
Live stream on space.com will begin at 11 a.m. EDT (1600 GMT, or 9 a.m. local time in New Mexico) on June 29.
@Daniel_MC Definitely fees like the manifold public is quite down on the likelihood of success on the 29th 😬
@JoshuaWilkes I think the low % here is because of the definition for success. I don’t want to deal with a NO resolution because the ship gets scratched, someone sprains a finger, or they don’t reach the exact height specified
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