Will Starship point-to-point fly commercial customers before 2030?
11
Ṁ1kṀ1k2030
5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
At least one person must be onboard, this counts only civilian buyers, not military. For it to qualify as "point to point", the launch must have it as a primary mission.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Starship launch one hundred times by 2030?
40% chance
How many starships will be launched before 2030?
131
Which Starship Variants will fly before 2028
Will Starship launch one thousand times by 2040?
64% chance
Will Starship fly intercontinental by 2030?
8% chance
When will Starship first fly paying passengers point to point?
Will Starship make daily intercontinental flights by 2050?
48% chance
Will an organisation offer suborbital point-to-point transportation before 2030?
29% chance
When will Starship first deploy a commercial* satellite to orbit?
Will an organisation offer suborbital point-to-point transportation before 2035?
80% chance