Inspired by https://edition.cnn.com/europe/live-news/russia-ukraine-war-news-05-03-22/h_28c9de8e10aca93d0d8d51b1bcd4b9a9 "Putin may soon officially declare war on Ukraine, US and Western officials say"
May 3, 4:22pm: Did not see David Glidden's market https://manifold.markets/dglid/will-russia-formally-declare-war-on-fae0c436ac66 when created this one.
Close date updated to 2022-06-01 11:59 pm
Close date updated to 2022-06-01 12:00 am
brp bought M$50 of NO17 days ago
Arbitraged to bring the two markets into agreement
Conflux bought M$15 of YES25 days ago
arbitraging with other market